hoping for an update

This topic contains 7 replies, has 6 voices, and was last updated by  Urban_Pirate 1 month, 1 week ago.

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  • #30635

    ch3r0k33
    Participant

    I started reading this website around the time of the last update… Bad timing it seems. I am hoping for some analysis in September to explain why returns on the I fund have not been as expected. Being 4 years to retirement, I only added 5% extra to the I fund leaving 75% of my equity allocation in the C and F. I am glad I did not move 50& of everything into the I fund.

    So no I am not complaining about the advice but I am hoping for analysis instead of silence on why relative returns have not been as expected. I am sure longterm my intuition is not as valuable as informed advice from this website.

    #30642

    rolfeskj
    Participant

    I am looking for an update soon too. Been following for 2-3 years and its always been good advice.

    I went 50 C / 50 I at the beginning of this year and it has hurt my returns, alot. I have 20 years until I start pulling money out but cutting your return in half this year kind of sucked.

    I am hoping the I fund will jump this year / next year when the trade wars, etc are done. It seems to have more potential for growth than the C or S fund as they are as high as they have ever been. But then again what do I know, I would have been all in S this year if I was any good.

    #32722

    craftkc10
    Participant

    It does appear this site is dead! Too bad since it always shared detailed analysis worth reading. I hope someone can pick it up from TSPaul and continue the work. TSPaul, thank you for your contributions and best of luck in whatever you’re now pursuing.

    #32724

    rolfeskj
    Participant

    Sites not dead, just dieing. TS Paul has a child a few months back so updates are very slow. He would update every month but now it’s only 2-3 times per year.

    I also followed his advice on the I fund, 50/50 and it hurt my returns. I made a jump from I to S on 12/21/18 as the S fund dropped so much so fast. I figured it may pop up just as fast and I was very tired of the year long bad return on the I fund. Lucky for me the S fund has shot up since then. About another 5% on the S fund and I will have erased the year long loses I had in the I fund.

    #32725

    rolfeskj
    Participant

    Also I forgot to add TS Paul is a bit active on Twitter. Link on his this page somewhere. He said the update would be out last weekend…

    #32728

    juan.d.
    Participant

    Hey–I like this site a lot and have been following it since its start. I’ve made good returns following its advice; however, like all things, you have to use your own judgment.

    I like the idea of investments/the economy moving in cycles and investing based on fundamentals. That being, said, I didn’t follow the 50% move into the I fund and stayed mostly C and some in S. I figured w/ all the worries people had w/ international trade, it was too risky, and I was better off staying in C.

    No one has a crystal ball, but take people’s advice, do some other reading, look at the fundamentals, and try not to time the market. But no one has all the answers–just strategies.

    #32733

    Damian
    Participant

    Add a new baby to all the flack he got around the election and I’m not surprised he’s been radio silent for a bit.

    #32734

    Urban_Pirate
    Participant

    I, too, am waiting in earnest for an update. But I also understand why there has been a delay. I would like to hope that we will see something soon after the SOTU tonight 🙂

    In the meantime, I have revisited the old articles, blog posts, and fund updates to look for similarities to our current state of affairs. Based on my understanding of past patterns, I have shifted my allocations to 50/50 C and F funds.

    YMMV

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